Summary of Key Findings
Changing weather conditions associated with global warming could increase fire danger in most of Europe. The projected increase in fire danger is strongest in southern European countries, where fires are already frequent and intense. The number of people living near wildland and exposed to high-to-extreme fire danger levels for at least 10 days per year would grow from now by 15 million (+24%) with 3°C warming.
Mitigation alone is not enough to avoid the adverse effects of climate change, which means adaptation strategies will be needed in order to enhance social-ecological resilience to wildfires.
Figure: Additional number of days per year with high-to-extreme fire danger for three global warming scenarios compared to present.