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News article20 June 2022Joint Research Centre1 min read

Slightly reduced yield outlook for crops in Europe

Yield forecasts for EU winter crops revised slightly downwards, for the third time

field of wheat
The yield forecast of wheat, was reduced in more than half of the EU’s wheat producing countries.
© Olrat - 2022

According to the June issue of the JRC MARS Bulletin - Crop monitoring in Europe, published today, the yield outlook for EU winter crops is slightly reduced for the third consecutive month. At EU level, the yield forecasts for soft wheat, durum wheat and winter barley are now just below the 5-year average. The forecasts for rapeseed, maize and sunflowers are also reduced but remain at, or just above, the 5-year average. Forecasts for sugar beet, potatoes, and soybeans (still mostly based on historical trends), as well as spring barley, remain essentially unchanged.

We see the strongest downward revision (by almost 5% at EU level) for durum wheat. Soft wheat is revised downward for 13 of the 25 EU wheat producing countries; mostly affected are Hungary, Romania, Poland, and France.

Continued drier-than-usual conditions in large parts of Europe

The main reason for the reduced yield outlook is the continued drier-than-usual conditions in large parts of Europe. The strongest impacts on crops happened in regions where these are combined with hot temperatures. However, in the Baltic Sea region, crops are negatively affected by persistently colder-than-usual weather.

Areas of concern summer/winter crops - June 2022

Special section on rice in Europe

This issue of the Bulletin features a special section on rice in Europe. Rice sowing was accomplished without major constraints, but on an area about 7% smaller than last year, mainly due to water availability concerns.

Table yields forcasts - Mars bulletins June 2022

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JRC MARS (Monitoring Agricultural Resources) Bulletins


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Publication date
20 June 2022
Joint Research Centre