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News article26 September 2022Joint Research Centre1 min read

Fair outlook for cereals yields and production in Kazakhstan

The September edition of the JRC MARS bulletin – Global outlook for Kazakhstan shows yield forecasts somewhat above the 5-year average for winter cereals (+6%) and grain maize (+6%), and slightly below the 5-year average for spring cereals (-2%).

wheat grain harvest
Wheat grain harvest
© Wirestock Creators - 2022

Compared with last year’s poor performance, the yield and production outlook is distinctly more positive, with an expected production increase of 23% for wheat and 39% for barley.

The cereals harvest campaign is being concluded in September under mostly good conditions with variable regional results.

Canopy conditions as observed by satellite

NDVI cumulated 1 July - 10 September 2022

Satellite observations of the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) vegetation indicator on arable land mainly show variable crop conditions across the country. Positive anomalies (in green) reflect above-average canopy density or early crop development while negative anomalies (in red) reflect below-average biomass accumulation or late crop development. In the above map positive anomalies (greenish colours on the map) prevail in Northwest Kazakhstan, where adequate soil moisture levels sustained above-average biomass accumulation, but negative anomalies (reddish colours) are observed in East Kazakhstan and in parts of North and South Kazakhstan, as a result of the irregular precipitation that reduced crop growth.

Yield forecasts for Kazakhstan - September 2022 Bulletin

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Further information

JRC MARS (Monitoring Agricultural Resources) Bulletins


The latest information about global agricultural production hotspots for countries at risk of food insecurity is available on the JRC’s ASAP (Anomaly hot Spots of Agricultural Production) site.



Publication date
26 September 2022
Joint Research Centre