Publications
GECO has resulted in the following publications:
Garaffa, Rafael, Matthias Weitzel, Toon Vandyck, Kimon Keramidas, Paul Dowling, Florian Fosse, Stephane Tchung-Ming et al. (2023). Stocktake of G20 countries’ climate pledges reveals limited macroeconomic costs and employment shifts. One Earth 6, no. 11: pp. 1591-1604. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02685-7
- Vandyck, Toon, Kimon Keramidas, Stéphane Tchung-Ming, Matthias Weitzel, Rita Van Dingenen. (2020). Quantifying air quality co-benefits of climate policy across sectors and regions. Climatic Change 163, 1501–1517. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02685-7
- den Elzen, Michel, Takeshi Kuramochi, Niklas Höhne, Jasmin Cantzler, Kendall Esmeijer, Hanna Fekete, Taryn Fransen, Kimon Keramidas, Mark Roelfsema, Fu Sha, Heleen van Soest, Toon Vandyck. (2019). Are the G20 economies making enough progress to meet their NDC targets? Energy Policy 126, pp. 238-250 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2018.11.027
- Weitzel, Matthias, Toon Vandyck, Kimon Keramidas, Markus Amann, Pantelis Capros, Michel den Elzen, Stefan Frank, Stéphane Tchung-Ming, Ana Díaz Vázquez and Bert Saveyn. (2019). Model-based assessments for long-term climate strategies. Nature Climate Change 9, pp. 343–347 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0453-5
- Weitzel, Matthias, Bert Saveyn, Toon Vandyck. (2018). Including bottom-up emission abatement technologies in a large-scale global economic model for policy assessments. Energy Economics 83, pp. 254-263. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2019.07.004
- Esmeijer, Kendall, Michel den Elzen, Detlef van Vuuren, David Gernaat, Jonathan Doelman, Kimon Keramidas, Jacques Despres, Andreas Schmitz, Stephane Tchung-Ming, Nicklas Forsell, Petr Havlik, Stefan Frank. (2018). 2 °C and 1.5 °C scenarios and possibilities of limiting the use of BECCS and bio-energy. PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency. Available at: https://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/2-degree-c-and-1-5-degree-c-scenarios-and-possibilities-of-limiting-the-use-of-beccs-and-bio-energy
- Vandyck, Toon, Kimon Keramidas, Alban Kitous, Joseph V. Spadaro, Rita Van Dingenen, Mike Holland & Bert Saveyn. (2018). Air quality co-benefits for human health and agriculture counterbalance costs to meet Paris Agreement pledges. Nature Communications 9, 4939 https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-06885-9
- Vandyck, T., Keramidas, K., Saveyn, B., Kitous, A., & Vrontisi, Z. (2016). A global stocktake of the Paris pledges: Implications for energy systems and economy. Global Environmental Change 41, pp. 46-63. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.08.006
- EC-JRC (2015). Analysis of scenarios integrating the INDCs. JRC Policy Brief. European Commission, Joint Research Centre. October 2015. JRC97845.
Policy documents
GECO has been used in the following European Commission policy documents:
- February 2015
The Paris Protocol - a blueprint for tackling global climate change beyond 2020 - COM/2015/081
Presentations
GECO and related work has been presented at a number of venues over the years, such as UNFCCC COPs, international conferences (e.g. IAMC, GTAP, IEW), seminars and workshops.
Related content
Others have used GECO in the following works:
- Emissions Gap Report 2023, United Nations Environment Programme, Chapter 2
- Emissions Gap Report 2022, United Nations Environment Programme, Chapter 2
- Emissions Gap Report 2021, United Nations Environment Programme, Chapter 2
- Emissions Gap Report 2020, United Nations Environment Programme, Chapter 2
- Emissions Gap Report 2019, United Nations Environment Programme, Chapter 2
- Emissions Gap Report 2018, United Nations Environment Programme, Chapter 2
- Springmann, Marco, Rita Van Dingenen, Toon Vandyck, Catharina Latka, Peter Witzke, Adrian Leip. (2023). The global and regional air quality impacts of dietary change. Nature Communications 14, 6227. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-41789-3
- Integrated Assessment Modelling Consortium (IAMC): GECO 2020 in COVID-19 Related Work; GECO visualisation in Tools
- Bertram, Christoph, Keywan Riahi, Jérôme Hilaire, Valentina Bosetti, Laurent Drouet, Oliver Fricko, Aman Malik, Larissa Pupo Nogueira, Bob van der Zwaan, Bas van Ruijven. (2021). Energy system developments and investments in the decisive decade for the Paris Agreement goals. Environmental Research Letters (IF 7.8) 16074020 https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac09ae
Drouet, Laurent et al. (2021). Net zero-emission pathways reduce the physical and economic risks of climate change. Nature Climate Change 11, pp. 1070–1076. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01218-z
Duan, Hongbo, Sheng Zhou, Kejun Jiang, Christoph Bertram, Mathijs Harmsen, Elmar Kriegler, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Shouyang Wang, Shinichiro Fujimori, Massimo Tavoni, Xi Ming, Kimon Keramidas, Gokul Iyer, James Edmonds. (2021). Assessing China’s efforts to pursue the 1.5°C warming limit. Science 372, (IF55) https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aba8767
- Harmsen, Mathijs et al. (2021). Integrated assessment model diagnostics: key indicators and model evolution. Environmental Research Letters 16: 5 https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abf964
Hasegawa, Tomoko et al. (2021). Land-based implications of early climate actions without global net-negative emissions. Nature Sustainability 4, pp. 1052–1059 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-021-00772-w
- Philippidis, G., Ferrer Pérez, H., Gracia de Rentería, P., M'Barek, R. Sanjuán López, A. I. (2021). Eating your greens: a global sustainability assessment. Resources, Conservation & Recycling 168: 105460 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2021.105460
- Riahi et al. (2021). Cost and attainability of meeting stringent climate targets without overshoot. NatureClimate Change 11 (IF 28.9) https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01215-2
- Van Soest et al. (2021). Global roll-out of comprehensive policy measures may aid in bridging emissions gap. Nature Communications 12 (IF 16.6) https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-26595-z
- EC. (2020). EU agricultural outlook for markets, income and environment, 2020-2030. European Commission, DG Agriculture and Rural Development, Brussels. https://ec.europa.eu/info/sites/info/files/food-farming-fisheries/farming/documents/agricultural-outlook-2020-report_en.pdf
- European Commission, Joint Research Centre. (2020). Projected freshwater needs of the energy sector in the European Union and the UK. European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC) [Dataset] PID: http://data.europa.eu/89h/af202f09-517a-484b-8c67-47210171f5e5
Harmsen, Mathijs, Oliver Fricko, Jérôme Hilaire, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Laurent Drouet, Olivier Durand-Lasserve, Shinichiro Fujimori, Kimon Keramidas, Zbigniew Klimont, Gunnar Luderer, Lara Aleluia Reis, Keywan Riahi, Fuminori Sano, Steven J. Smith. (2020). Taking some heat off the NDCs? The limited potential of additional short-lived climate forcers’ mitigation. Climatic Change 163, pp. 1443–1461. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02436-3
- Harmsen, Mathijs, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Jean Chateau, Olivier Durand-Lasserve, Laurent Drouet, Oliver Fricko, Shinichiro Fujimori, David E. H. J. Gernaat, Tatsuya Hanaoka, Jérôme Hilaire, Kimon Keramidas, Gunnar Luderer, Maria Cecilia P. Moura, Fuminori Sano, Steven J. Smith, Kenichi Wada. (2020). The role of methane in future climate strategies: mitigation potentials and climate impacts. Climatic Change 163, pp. 1409–1425 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02437-2
- Philippidis, G., Shutes, L., M'Barek, R., Ronzona, T., Tabeau, A., van Meij, H. (2020). Snakes and ladders: World development pathways’ synergies and trade-offs through the lens of the Sustainable Development Goals. Journal of Cleaner Production 267: 122147 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.122147
- Roelfsema et al. (2020). Taking stock of national climate policies to evaluate implementation of the Paris Agreement. Nature Communications 11 (IF 16.6) https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-15414-6
Hidalgo Gonzalez, Ignacio; Medarac, Hrvoje; Pappis, Ioannis; González Sánchez, Rocio; Kougias, Ioannis; Sridharan, Vignesh; Usher, William; Howells, Mark (2019): Energy projections for African countries by 2065. European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC) [Dataset] PID: http://data.europa.eu/89h/f2f52882-546e-4988-a07b-f1b7f5feda06
- Krey, Volker et al. (2019). Looking under the hood: A comparison of techno-economic assumptions. Energy 172, pp. 1254-1267. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2018.12.131
- Boucher, O., H. Benveniste, and C. Guivarch (2016), Nations’ pledges to reduce emissions and the 2°C objective, Eos, 97, doi:10.1029/2016EO052397. Published on 17 May 2016. Available at http://eos.org/meeting-reports/nations-pledges-to-reduce-emissions-and-the-2c-objective
- Benveniste, H., et al. (2015). The INDC counter, aggregation of national contributions and 2°C trajectories. Groupe Interdisciplinaire sur les Contributions Nationales Working Paper. November 2015. Available at https://cmc.ipsl.fr/images/publications/scientific_notes/GICN_working_paper2.pdf