This issue of the Bulletin contains novel elements, such as tabulated yield and production forecasts at oblast level and an appendix on an analysis using Copernicus Sentinel data to estimate crop area and crop phenology.
Regional yield forecast
- Below average in central and western oblasts
- Fair in the eastern half of the country
Country level yield forecast
- Close to the 5-year average, but below the historical trend and well below last year’s record level.
Current and expected above-average temperatures could - depending on their magnitude – further reduce the yield potential
In terms of production, this translates to a forecast at national level of:
- 26.88 Mt of wheat
- 6.66 Mt of barley
- 3.75Mt of rapeseed
About 22% of the forecast soft wheat production, 19% of the forecast winter barley, and 13% of the forecast rapeseed production is in areas that are currently subject to hostilities due to Russia’s war on Ukraine.
Hostilities have also led to a sharp decrease in the area sown to spring and summer crops, which will lead to a lower production of spring barley, grain maize, sunflowers and soybeans.
We need your help: JRC MARS Bulletins Survey
The JRC MARS Bulletins Survey aims to collect information to better understand how you use the JRC MARS Bulletin. This will help us to improve our service in the future. Completion of the survey should take less than 10 minutes of your time. All information collected will be anonymous - no personal information is requested.
The survey is available at 2022 JRC MARS Bulletin - Crop Monitoring in Europe Survey
The latest information about global agricultural production hotspots for countries at risk of food insecurity is available on the JRC’s ASAP (Anomaly hot Spots of Agricultural Production) site.
- 13 Juni 2022
- Det Fælles Forskningscenter