In the southern and western oblasts long lasting rain deficits negatively affected yield potentials, while timely rainfall in some central and northern oblasts led to increased yield forecasts in these regions. Eastern oblasts experienced above-average temperatures, but these did not cause any severe damage to summer crops.
Fair yields but below-average production outlook for summer crops
Winter cereals’ yield forecasts are below the historical trend but still around the 5-year average, albeit well below last year’s record level. An increase in area under rapeseed led to significantly increased production of this crop.
Russia’s war against Ukraine has seen a decrease in the area under grain maize and sunflowers. Consequently, our production forecasts for both crops is below the 5-year average, despite fair yield outlooks.
Fair yield outlooks, combined with stable planting area for soybean leads to near average production.
Part of production areas impacted by Russia’s war against Ukraine
Based on our regional forecasts, we estimate that 22% of soft wheat production, 20% of the barley, 13% of the rapeseed, 4% of the grain maize, 10% of the sunflowers, and 7% of the soybean production at country level is in areas currently subject to hostilities due to Russia’s military aggression against Ukraine, which is likely to reduce harvestable crops and thus final production figures.
We need your help: JRC MARS Bulletins Survey
The JRC MARS Bulletins Survey aims to collect information to better understand how you use the JRC MARS Bulletin. This will help us to improve our service in the future. Completion of the survey should take less than 10 minutes of your time. All information collected will be anonymous - no personal information is requested.
The survey is available at 2022 JRC MARS Bulletin - Crop Monitoring in Europe Survey
The latest information about global agricultural production hotspots for countries at risk of food insecurity is available on the JRC’s ASAP (Anomaly hot Spots of Agricultural Production) site.
- Datum publicatie
- 12 september 2022
- Gemeenschappelijk Centrum voor onderzoek