Skip to main content
EU Science Hub
  • General publications
  • 26 August 2024
  • Joint Research Centre
  • 1 min read

Below-average yield forecasts for most crops in the EU

According to the August edition of the JRC MARS Bulletin crop monitoring in Europe, yield forecasts at EU level have been revised downwards for almost all crops, due to exceptionally hot conditions in the south and excessive rainfall in the north.  

Exceptionally hot conditions in south-eastern Europe negatively impacted the yield potential of summer crops.
© Dronandy - stock.adobe.com 2024
Severe impacts of hot conditions on summer crop in the south
202408CropYieldTable

Severe impacts of hot conditions on summer crop in the south

The downward revision of the yield forecast for summer crops (particularly grain maize and sunflowers) is mainly due to exceptionally high temperatures that occurred during the review period in most of southern, southern-central and eastern Europe. Summer crops were particularly impacted in regions where the hot conditions coincided with limited water availability, as was often the case in Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria and Greece.

High rainfall impacted winter crops in the north

The poor performance of winter cereals (in particular soft wheat and winter barley) is mostly due to excessively wet conditions that affected large parts of western and northern Europe. During the current review period, this was particularly the case in the Baltic countries, where an extremely intense rainfall event resulted in lodging and reduced grain quality, substantially decreasing the hitherto positive yield expectations. Frequent rainfall, yet less extreme, also hampered harvesting in northern France, the Benelux countries and north-western Germany, where winter crops had already been impacted by overly wet conditions during most of the season.

Further information

Subscribe to the JRC MARS Bulletin | (Unsubscribe from your profile page)

JRC MARS (Monitoring Agricultural Resources) Bulletins

JRC AGRI4CAST Toolbox

The latest information about global agricultural production hotspots for countries at risk of food insecurity is available on the JRC’s ASAP (Anomaly hot Spots of Agricultural Production).

 

Details

Publication date
26 August 2024
Author
Joint Research Centre
JRC portfolios

More news on a similar topic