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News article25 July 2022Joint Research Centre

Reduced yield outlook for summer crops in Europe

According to the latest JRC MARS Bulletin - Crop monitoring in Europe, the yield outlook for EU summer crops was substantially reduced due to continued hot and/or dry weather conditions in much of Europe.

Map of temperatures on arable land - June-July 2022
In many parts of Europe, the Bulletin review period was among the warmest on record.
European Union, 2022

Hot and dry weather conditions take their toll

According to the July issue of the JRC MARS Bulletin - Crop monitoring in Europe, published today, the yield outlook for EU summer crops was substantially reduced due to continued hot and/or dry weather conditions in large parts of Europe. The most pronounced reductions (by 8 to 9% at EU level) are for grain maize, sunflowers and soybeans, for which the yield forecasts are now well below the 5-year average. The forecasts for winter crops – which are reaching the end of the season – were subject to minor changes at EU level, remaining close to the 5-year average.

Areas of Concern

Extremely hot and dry conditions in several regions of Europe

The review period was marked by extremely hot and dry conditions in several regions of Europe. Negative impacts on the yield potential of summer crops are most pronounced in regions that were already affected by long-lasting rain deficits, such as large parts of Spain, southern France, central and northern Italy, central Germany, northern Romania, eastern Hungary, and western and southern Ukraine. Apart from direct impacts on growth, drought and heat stress in several regions coincided with the flowering stage, resulting in reduced flower fertility. Moreover, in several of the regions where summer crops rely on irrigation, the very low levels of water reservoirs are insufficient to meet demand.

Crop yield forecasts - July 2022

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Further information

JRC MARS (Monitoring Agricultural Resources) Bulletins

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The latest information about global agricultural production hotspots for countries at risk of food insecurity is available on the JRC’s ASAP (Anomaly hot Spots of Agricultural Production) site.

Details

Publication date
25 July 2022
Author
Joint Research Centre