Improved crop yield expectations in North Africa, except for Morocco

This resulted in irreversible loss of yield potentials in Morocco, while in Algeria, despite some recovery since March, yield expectations remain below the 5-year average. Yield forecasts for Tunisia are set above-average, while the expectations for Libya and Egypt are around the 5-year average.

Highlights

• Morocco (MA): The seasonal drought hampered crop growth until the onset of flowering and resulted in well below-average biomass formation in most of the agricultural areas, and a high rate of crop failure.
• Algeria (DZ): Winter crops in central and eastern regions presented a sharp recovery thanks to above-average rainfall in March and April. However, in western regions, the rainfall arrived too late to trigger crop recovery.
• Tunisia (TN): Favourable temperatures and adequate rainfall since March has resulted in above-average biomass accumulation in the north-western regions. Crop recovery was observed in the central-western regions after an intense rain event in mid-March.
• Libya (LY): Above to well-above growing conditions were found in the eastern agricultural areas. By contrast, the early season drought in western regions negatively affected crops and resulted in around-average biomass accumulation.
• Egypt (EG): Cereal growth this season was from average to moderately above-average. No crop limitations due to biotic disease stresses were observed.

Observed canopy conditions

Yield forecasts

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