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FTA2018 - Presentations and contributions - 5 June

Find presentations for the FTA2018 session on Tuesday 5 June

Keynote

Presentation_Christian Bason
English
(65.78 MB - PDF)
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Find contributions for the parallel sessions:

Contributions for parallel sessions I

A1 - Evaluation of Foresight Projects and Programmes for Impact

Presentation_Hurdles

  • Andrea Ricci - ISINNOVA
  • Giovanna Giuffrè - ISINNOVA
  • Sara Baiocco - ISINNOVA

Eye of the Storm: Cross examination of R&I-policy oriented foresight methods and results

  • Aaron B. Rosa - Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research
  • Philine Warnke - Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research
  • Kerstin Cuhls - Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research
  • Niklas Gudowsky - Institute of Technology Assessment of the Austrian Academy of Sciences

Foresight in Transition: A review & way forward

  • Ozcan Saritas - National Research University — Higher School of Economics (HSE) & University of Manchester

Presentation_What leads to impactful foresight: 30 years of Canadian Government Foresight – History and lessons learned

  • Jonathan Calof - University of Ottawa
  • Brian Colton - University of Ottawa

Identifying the Foresight - Policy Gap: The "NIC Global Trends Report" case study

  • Leopold Schmertzing - European Parliamentary Research Service


A2 - Evolution and Transformation of Cities, Regions and Communities

Insights into the evolution of cities

  • Denis Loveridge - University of Manchester
  • Cristiano Cagnin - Center For Strategic Studies and Management (CGEE)

Governance Structures for Urban Foresight and Transformation Processes

  • Gudrun Haindlmaier - Austrian Institute of Technology (AIT)
  • Doris Wilhelmer - Austrian Institute of Technology (AIT)

The sustainability ‎of the making of global communities. Functions, dysfunctions, scenarios

  • Anne Marchais-Roubelat - Conservatoire National des Arts et Métiers
  • Fabrice Roubelat - Université de Poitiers

A new framework for shaping and implementing innovation policies for a sociotechnical transition of cities and regions towards more sustainable pathways

  • Cristiano Cagnin, Raiza Fraga - Center For Strategic Studies and Management (CGEE)
  • Guilherme Wiedman - Ministry of Science, Technology, Innovation and Communication, Brazil

Strategic Foresight Innovation in the Netherlands: The World's First Cross-Government Agency Forecasting Tournament

  • Regina Joseph - Sibylink

The Conceptual Stretching of Scenario Building in Strategic Foresight

  • Meelis Kitsing - Foresight Centre, Estonian Parliament


A3 - System Dynamics, Modelling and Gaming

Facing the challenges of complexity: A process for modelling-based roadmapping

  • Anna Leinonen - VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland Ltd.

A circular Europe on the way: Systemic Design as policy-making tool anticipating a new economic paradigm

  • Carolina Giraldo Nohra - Politecnico di Torino
  • Silvia Barbero - Politecnico di Torino

Methodology of 'Prototyping for Sustainable Futures with value’ in Masterclass Future Food Systems

  • Linda Hofman - Fontys Academy for Creative Industries
  • Christianne Heselmans - Fontys Academy for Creative Industries

Policy simulations for implementation

  • Terry Schumacher - Rose-Hulman Institute of Technology
  • Scott Cunningham - Technical University Delft

Paigniophobia. Daring to use a serious game in China

  • Epaminondas Christophilopoulos - Foundation for Research and Technology – Hellas (FORTH)
  • Laurent Bontoux - European Commission, Joint Research Centre
  • Daniela Ilieva - VUZF
  • Stavros Mantzanakis - Phemonoe Lab

Using System Dynamics Modelling to Understand and Enable Mythological Readiness in Policy-making

  • Sarah Megan Wylie - Northern Ireland Public Sector Innovation Lab


A4 - Futures Proficiency for Society

Futures thinking, part of the Dutch National Curricula

  • Erica Bol - Teach the Future

Educating for the Future: what and how to teach futures studies in secondary schools

  • Markku Wilenius - University of Turku
  • Laura Pouru - University of Turku

How Futures Literate are you? Exploratory research on how to operationalize and measure Futures Literacy

  • Anke de Boer - Hanze University of Applied Sciences (HUAS)
  • Carina Wiekens - Hanze University of Applied Sciences (HUAS)
  • Loes Damhof - Hanze University of Applied Sciences (HUAS)

A conceptual framework of Human-Machine Interaction for enriched Future Literacy

  • Andrée Ehresmann - Université de Picardie Jules Verne
  • Mathias Béjean - Université Partis Est Créteil
  • Jean-Paul Vanbremeersch - Établissements d'hébergement pour personnes âgées dépendantes (Ehpad)

Design and Implementation of the System of Prospective, 6Technological Watch, and Organizational Intelligence (PREVIOS) in the National Learning Service (SENA) of Colombia

  • Javier Enrique Medina Vásquez - Universidad del Valle

Futures and Design approaches in policy and government. Learnings from design education programs and the steps ahead

  • Lucy Kimbell - University of the Arts London


A5 - Scenario Design for Policymaking

Epistemic communities, foresight and change in energy policy: a case for two scenario-design processes in Wallonia

  • Vincent Calay - Institut wallon de l’évaluation, de la prospective et de la statistique (IWEPS)
  • Jean-Luc Guyot - Institut wallon de l’évaluation, de la prospective et de la statistique (IWEPS)

The Contribution of Science Fiction and Design to the Materialization of Scenarios

  • Jean Paul Pinto - Universidad del Valle
  • Javier Medina - Universidad del Valle

Debiasing political decision making through “value-free” scenario models

  • Jonathan Blanchard Smith - SAMI Consulting Ltd

Counterfactual Construction of Scenarios for the Future

  • Mariana Todorova - Bulgarian Academy of Sciences

Scenarios for the future of mobility in Europe: Combining the scenario technique with the Multi-Actor Multi-Criteria Analysis (MAMCA)

  • Imre Keseru - Vrije Universiteit Brussel
  • Thierry Coosemans - Vrije Universiteit Brussel
  • Cathy Macharis - Vrije Universiteit Brussel

Scenario-based strategy development to drive multi-stakeholder collaboration and agility

  • René Rohrbeck - Aarhus University
  • Adam Gordon - Aarhus University
  • Matthew Spaniol - Aarhus University


A6 - Preparing for Societal Challenges

The use of research portfolios in science policy: Mapping research priorities against societal needs

  • Ismael Rafols - Universitat Politecnica de Valencia & CWTS, University of Leiden
  • Nicholas Vonortas - George Washington University

Integrating foresight into the world’s largest humanitarian organisation

  • Shaun Hazeldine - International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies
  • Stuart Candy - Carnegie Mellon University

Exploring the future of public health in the Netherlands using a normative perspectives approach

  • Johan Melse - National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM)

Envisioning the future of welfare systems: Reinventing the EU Social Model towards the Welfare Society 2.0

  • Gianluca Misuraca - European Commission, Joint Research Centre
  • Giulio Pasi - European Commission, Joint Research Centre

Modernization and Institutional Transformation (MTI) of the National Police of Colombia (2016-2030)

  • Diana Preciado - Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México (UNAM)

Future Implications of Cooperative, Connected and Automated Mobility

  • Maria Alonso Raposo - European Commission, Directorate-General Joint Research Centre (JRC)
  • Monica Grosso - European Commission, Directorate-General Joint Research Centre (JRC)
  • Jette Krause - European Commission, Directorate-General Joint Research Centre (JRC)
  • Maria Cristina Galassi - European Commission, Directorate-General Joint Research Centre (JRC)
  • Biagio Ciuffo - European Commission, Directorate-General Joint Research Centre (JRC)

A7 - Hands-on: One size Does Not Fit All in the Future - Navigating the Innovation Method Wilderness

  • Session organised by Angela Hanson, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)

A8 - Hands-on: Emerging Policy Issues - Out of Sight, Out of Mind?

  • Session organised by Maciej Krzysztofowicz & Laurent Bontoux, European Commission, Directorate-General Joint Research Centre (JRC)

13:15-14:45

Presentations and contributions for parallel sessions II

B1 - STI Priority Assessment Methodologies

Integrated perspectives to complex technology issues: A framework for assessment methods and stakeholder engagement

  • Karel Haegeman - European Commission, Joint Research Centre

In Search of Sectoral Foresight Methodology: Bridging Foresight and SIS

  • Nadezhda Gaponenko - Institute for Science Study of the Russian Academy of Sciences

An integrated roadmapping approach for innovation system foresight

  • Jae-Yun Ho - University of Cambridge
  • Eoin O'Sullivan - University of Cambridge
  • Rob Phaal - University of Cambridge

Changing the role of Foresight in 21 Century: a look through the prism of Russian S&T Foresight 2030

  • Aleksandr Chulok - National Research University — Higher School of Economics (HSE)

The relevance of foresight for supporting research infrastructure policies

  • Attila Havas - Hungarian Academy of Sciences

Global Security Implications of Chemical and Biological Innovation

  • Chad C. Haddal - Sandia National Laboratories
  • Diana L. Bull - Sandia National Laboratories
  • Elizabeth J. Kistin Keller - Sandia National Laboratories
  • Patricia M. Pacheco Hernandez - Sandia National Laboratories
  • Brandon W. Heimer - Sandia National Laboratories
  • Anne Ruffing - Sandia National Laboratories
  • Munaf S. Aamir - Sandia National Laboratories


B2 - Participation for Local, Regional and National Strategies

Whole of Society Futures: Provotyping Slovenia 2050 - Growing a new and better future in a nation of gardeners

  • Timotej Šooš - Government of the Republic of Slovenia
  • Angela Wilkinson - University of Oxford

Four Scripts for Ghent 2040. An insight into a co-creative forward policy preparation program with an additional focus on the role of technology

  • Joris Wauters, Martine Delannoy - Foresight Digipolis Ghent
  • Maya Van Leemput - Erasmus Hogeschool Brussels

Foresight for the prevention of environmental social conflicts: A Sustainable long term planning tool for territories

  • Fredy Vargas Lama - Universidad Externado de Colombia
  • Francisco Javier Osorio - Universidad Externado de Colombia

How to initiate a process of public innovation?

  • François Jégou - Strategic Design Scenarios
  • Christophe Gouache - Strategic Design Scenarios

Supporting decision making with foresight tools in chaotic times

  • Gill Ringland, Wendy Schultz - SAMI Consulting Ltd

Digital Traces: Identifying and engaging in governance various segments of youth in Kenya via tailored online experiences

  • Anastasia Mirzoyants - Well Told Story
  • Paul Ekuru - Well Told Story
  • Matti Pohjonen - Africa's Voices Foundation


B3 - Algorithm-based Foresight Methods

Indicators of Technological Emergence

  • Alan Porter - Search Technology
  • Nils Newman - Search Technology
  • Stephen Carley - Search Technology
  • Jan Youtie - Georgia Institute of Technology
  • Zhinan Wang - Beijing Institute of Technology

A bibliometric-based technique to identify emerging technologies in a comparative assessment with expert review

  • Alberto Moro - European Commission, Directorate-General Joint Research Centre (JRC)
  • Elisa Boelman - European Commission, Directorate-General Joint Research Centre (JRC)
  • Geraldine Joanny - European Commission, Directorate-General Joint Research Centre (JRC)
  • Juan Lopez-Garcia - European Commission, Directorate-General Joint Research Centre (JRC)

Topics of prominence, an insight into identifying new, emerging research trends, setting the scene for technologies of the future

  • Anne-Catherine Rota - Elsevier BV
  • Stéphane Berghmans - Elsevier BV

Forecasting emerging technologies in different patterns: An approach on data augmentation and deep learning

  • Yuan Zhou - Tsinghua University
  • Fang Dong - Tsinghua University
  • Zhaofu Li - Huazhong University of Science and Technology
  • Yufei Liu - Huazhong University of Science and Technology

Who do we talk to when we talk about migration? An analysis of polarisation through Twitter

  • Fabrizio Natale - European Commission, Directorate-General Joint Research Centre (JRC)
  • Marco Scipioni - European Commission, Directorate-General Joint Research Centre (JRC)
  • Guido Tintori - European Commission, Directorate-General Joint Research Centre (JRC)
  • Alexandra Balahur - European Commission, Directorate-General Joint Research Centre (JRC)

Social network analysis and text mining to identify innovative research themes: supporting the Brazilian graduate programs national Agenda

  • Alessandra Brandão - Center for Strategic Studies and Management (CGEE)
  • Adriana Villela - Center for Strategic Studies and Management (CGEE)
  • Carlson Oliveira - Center for Strategic Studies and Management (CGEE)
  • Alexandre Santos - Center for Strategic Studies and Management (CGEE)
  • André Brasil - Agency for Support and Assessment of Graduate Education (CAPES)


B4 – Systems of Values and Foresight

Collision Points among Bioeconomy Worlds, Toward Year 2125

  • Amos Taylor - University of Turku
  • Nicolas Balcom Raleigh - University of Turku
  • Markku Wilenius - University of Turku

Towards unbiased foresight processes for policy thinking

  • Lieve Van Woensel - University of Oxford / European Parliament

Making sense of using the future: Comparing the cases of data protection and comprehensive security

  • Matti Minkkinen - University of Turku

Anticipation and the Normative Stance

  • Ted Fuller - University of Lincoln

Dethroning Policy Formulation: Exploring the Relevance for Senior Decision Makers of Our Post-Normal Context

  • Ruben Nelson - Foresight Canada

Challenges and Opportunities of Big Data for Innovation Policy along the Policy Life Cycle

  • Knut Blind - Fraunhofer Institute for Open Communication Systems & Technical University Berlin
  • Crispin Niebel - Technical University Berlin
  • Chantale Tippett - Nesta


B5 - Towards Innovative Approaches in Foresight

AI and the Future of Foresight: On the impact of neural networks on probabilistic, possibilistic and constructivist foresight

  • Ilkka Tuomi - Meaning Processing Ltd.

Hybrid Methods for Making Deliberated Futures

  • Sirkka Heinonen - University of Turku

Rich narratives for public good

  • Rob Hanson - The Australian National University
  • Zac Hatfield-Dodds - The Australian National University

Long Cycles: A Bridge between Past and Futures

  • Adrian Pop - National University of Political Science and Public Administration
  • Răzvan Grigoraș - Carol I National Defence University

Futures consciousness and its impacts on the individual’s readiness to make radical policy choices – study on Finnish regime members

  • Sanna Ahvenharju - University of Turku

Latent futures, thick presents and thinking with heritage

  • Richard Sandford - University College London

B6 - Hands-on: Going Digital – Exploring OECD Scenarios

  • Session organised by Duncan Cass-Beggs, Joshua Polchar, Julia Staudt, Anna-Sophie Liebender, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)

B7 - Hands-on: Rapid Future Government Fabrication Workshop

  • Session organised by Eckhard Stoermer, Lucia Vesnic-Alujevic, Fabiana Scapolo, European Commission, Joint Research Centre

B8.I - Hands-on: Foresight in challenging policy environments

  • Session organised by Riel Miller, United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organisation UNESCO; Sohail Inayatullah, UNESCO Chair in Futures Studies, USIM

15:15-16:45

Presentations and contributions for parallel sessions III

C1 - Hands-on: Can We Take Stakeholder Engagement in System Innovations to a Deeper Level?

  • Session organised by Kristel Van Ael, Namahn; Peter De Smedt, Transition Lab (DKB)

C2 - Horizon Scanning & Beyond

First Horizon Scanning activity in Hungary

  • Éva Hideg, Judit Gáspár - Corvinus University of Budapest
  • András Báldi - Hungarian Academy of Sciences Centre for Ecological Research

Early detection of potential topics for advice-giving mechanisms in technology assessment

  • Niklas Gudowsky - Institute of Technology Assessment of the Austrian Academy of Sciences
  • Leo Capari - Institute of Technology Assessment of the Austrian Academy of Sciences
  • Walter Peissl - Institute of Technology Assessment of the Austrian Academy of Sciences
  • Michael Nentwich - Institute of Technology Assessment of the Austrian Academy of Sciences

Open Foresight: Sourcing, Developing, and Validating Ideas on the Opportunity Radar

  • Matthew Spaniol - Aarhus University
  • René Rohrbeck - Aarhus University

How to enable policy making by using a strategic intelligence foresight system

  • Tanja Schindler - 4strat
  • Michael Schönmoser - 4strat

A Communities-of-Practice approach for policymaking in the field of Security and Resilience

  • Dr Georgios Kolliarakis - German Council on Foreign Relations
  • Dr Philippe Quevauviller - European Commission, Department for Migration and Home Affairs

Strategy building for a knowledge repository with a novel expert information fusion tool

  • Andrzej M.J. Skulimowski - AGH University of Science and Technology, International Centre for Decision Sciences and Forecasting

C3 - Shaping Research Policy for Europe Through Foresight

FTA for strategic STI policies in a multi-level, multi-domain governance context

  • Atilla Havas - Aalto University
  • Ahti Salo - Aalto University
  • Matthias K. Weber - Austrian Institute of Technology (AIT)

Deriving new policy concepts for attracting Research & Development &Innovation in Global Value Chains to Europe

  • Norbert Malanowski - VDI Technologiezentrum

Global Value Producing Networks Based on the Backcasting Logic of Technology Foresight

  • Osmo Kuusi - University of Turku
  • Jari Kaivo-oja - University of Turku

BOHEMIA - A Dynamic Argumentative Delphi Survey in Policy Preparation

  • Kerstin Cuhls - Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research
  • Aaron Rosa - Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research
  • Liviu Andreescu - Prospectiva
  • Radu Gheorghiu - Prospectiva
  • Bianca Dragomir - Prospectiva

Foresight in Support of Designing R&I Programmes: The case of FP9

  • Matthias Weber - Austrian Institute of Technology (AIT)

B8-II - Hands-on: Foresight in Challenging Policy Environments (continued)

  • Session organised by Riel Miller, United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organisation UNESCO; Sohail Inayatullah, UNESCO Chair in Futures Studies, USIM

C5 - Hands-on: Developing Forward-looking Strategies - Story Mapping on the Example of Mobility and Transport

  • Session organised by Marcia Urban, Bauhaus Luftfahrt e.V.

C6 - Modelling Outside of the Comfort Zone

  • Session organised by Eckehard Rosenbaum, European Commission, Joint Research Centre

C7 - STI Priority Assessment Methodologies - National Applications

Common STI priorities for several countries: BRICS case

  • Alexander Sokolov - National Research University - Higher School of Economics (HSE)
  • Shashnov Sergey - National Research University - Higher School of Economics (HSE)
  • Grebenyuk Anna - National Research University - Higher School of Economics (HSE)
  • Maxim Kotsemir - National Research University - Higher School of Economics (HSE)

Shaping the future of the Brazilian National Council for Scientific and Technological Development

  • Rita de Cassia - National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq)
  • Ricardo Silva - National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq)
  • Marconi Albuquerque - National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq)
  • Cristiano Cagnin - Center For Strategic Studies and Management (CGEE)

Innovation Policy-making from Foresight in Tunisia: A Preliminary study

  • Refaat Chaabouni - University of Tunis El-Manar
  • Lotfi Bouzaiane - University of Carthage

Participatory Futures Literacy method for fast insight development in smart specialization monitoring groups

  • Norbert Kołos - Polish Society for Futures Studies
  • Zofia Bednarczyk - 4CF Strategic Foresight
  • Maciej Jagaciak - 4CF Strategic Foresight
  • Kacper Nosarzewski - 4CF Strategic Foresight

Taxonomy from Keywords: A methodology for understanding new concepts and design future-oriented and evidence-based STI policies

  • Antonio Geraldo de Paula Oliveira - Center For Strategic Studies and Management (CGEE)
  • Jackson Max Furtunato Maia - Center For Strategic Studies and Management (CGEE)
  • Cristiano Hugo Cagnin - Center For Strategic Studies and Management (CGEE)
  • Jorg Neves Bliesener - Intangibles Management Ltda ME

C8 - Addressing Urban Complexity Through the Resilience Lens

  • Panel discussion organised by Ania Rok, URBACt & ICLEI - Local Governments for Sustainability; Niki Frantzeskaki, The Dutch Research Institute For Transitions (DRIFT)

10:30 - 16:45

Serious gaming and immersion

JRC serious game: Exploring the future of migration in Europe

  • Anna Hakami - European Commission, Joint Research Centre
  • Tine Van Criekinge - European Commission, Department for International Cooperation and Development

Exploring Nanotechnology strategies with the Scenario Exploration System

  • Ineke Malsch - Malsch TechnoValuation
  • Lukasz Nazarko - Bialystok University of Technology
  • Patrizia Fama - MUSE- Science Museum
  • Laurent Bontoux - European Commission, Joint Research Centre

Playing the new world with the MEWEGAME

  • Simone de Wijn - Design agency

40,000 Futures in the Making: A Master Class in The Thing From The Future

  • Stuart Candy - Carnegie Mellon University
  • Jeff Watson - University of Southern California